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Superforecasts for 2023 (and the potential for nuclear war)

It's the time of year, again, for making predictions…

John Sykes, Allan Trench
Superforecasts for 2023 (and the potential for nuclear war)

Most of these are to be taken with a ‘pinch of salt' at least - even some of those from apparently serious organisations (the record of professional forecasting is not great). Indeed, many are just attempts...

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