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Superforecasts for 2023 (and the potential for nuclear war)
WITH the New Year comes a raft of forecast, predictions, and prognostications, on the year ahead in everything from politics and economics, to sports, to celebrity marriages, interest rates, and of course, commodity prices too.
Most of these are to be taken with a ‘pinch of salt' at least - even some of those from apparently serious organisations (the record of professional forecasting is not great). Indeed, many are just attempts...
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