ESG

Diversification to guard against virus impacts

Iron ore hubs could be bottlenecks

Tom Hoskyns

This article is 4 years old. Images might not display.

MiningNews.net is making some of its most important coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic freely available to readers. For more coverage, please see our COVID-19 hub. To subscribe to MiningNews.net, click here.

"An outbreak impacting a mine could potentially see entire operations be shut or operated below full capacity, which can be economically damaging with generally high industry fixed costs," said RBC analyst Tyler Broda.

Outbreaks at key iron ore or coal ports, or at plants, could also have a significant impact on production, said the analyst.

Broda said Glencore and Anglo American's asset and country diversity "would place them in the most favourable structural position".

"Anglo American's diverse asset base across multiple countries and assets will likely provide a high level of resilience at the company level," said Broda, noting the company's assets "tend to be located in relatively disparate locations", with EBITDA most concentrated in South Africa.

"Glencore's asset base is also very well distributed with no concentration larger than about 20%. In addition, its marketing business operations tend to be decentralised," said Broda.

Broda pointed to potential bottlenecks such as coal ports at Newcastle.

"However, in general, Glencore is structurally resilient in our view," said the analyst.

Other majors with more geographically concentrated operations may be less well placed. BHP's CEO Mike Henry has spoken of his plans to split teams to allow operations to continue. Broda said ports at Port Hedland and its iron ore hubs would be potential bottlenecks.

"BHP's oil exposure especially at offshore platforms would be potentially susceptible. Escondida would also provide a concentration risk. With Australia being the dominant geographic contributor, any Australian countrywide policy or counter measure would need to be assessed," said Broda.

But though geographical diversity may not be a strong suit for BHP, Broda said it was the "clear winner for defensive exposure" and was better equipped than others to handle the potential macroeconomic fallout from the outbreak

Meanwhile, Glencore's structurally higher funding levels and lower operating margins in a recessionary environment "lead the equity to having potentially higher volatility," said Broda.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

editions

Mining Company ESG Index: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The Mining Company ESG Index report provides an in-depth evaluation of ESG performance of 61 of the world's largest mining companies. Using a robust framework, it assesses each company across 9 meticulously weighted indicators within 6 essential pillars.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Global Leadership Report 2024: Net Zero

Gain insights into decarbonisation trends and strategies from interviews with 20+ top mining executives and experts plus an industrywide survey.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Project Pipeline Handbook 2024

View our 50 top mining projects, handpicked using a unique, objective selection process from a database of 450+ global assets.

editions

MiningNews.net Research Report 2024

Access a multi-pronged tool to identify critical risks and opportunities in Australia’s mining industry.